Explore the effects of labor reports on AUD, NZD, JPY, EUR, CHF, GBP, and CAD, along with insights on Dollar Index trends.
In the Asia session, Australia’s Labor Force report for September delivered a disappointing blow, adding only 6.7k jobs to the market, far below the anticipated 20.6k and a sharp decline from August’s 63.3k. The disappointing Labor Force report caused the Australian dollar to plummet to 0.6300, and analysts expect further decline throughout the day. Looking ahead to the Europe and US sessions, the US labor market appeared robust with decreasing unemployment claims, although there has been a recent uptick. Despite this, claims have consistently been lower than estimates, potentially strengthening the Dollar Index (DXY). Analysts anticipate that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Economic Club of New York Luncheon will exert a similar influence to Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller’s neutral remarks, putting downward pressure on the dollar.
Impact of Labor Reports on Currencies & Dollar Index (DXY)
The Dollar Index (DXY) stands to gain if unemployment claims continue to outperform expectations. Powell’s speech may also maintain pressure on the dollar, influencing the market further.
Lower-than-expected US unemployment claims often strengthen the US dollar in the gold market, leading to a decline in gold prices. Like Waller’s, Powell’s speech could sway the dollar, subsequently impacting gold prices.
For the Australian dollar (AUD), the discouraging Labor Force report will likely exert sustained downward pressure, resulting in further depreciation.
The New Zealand dollar (NZD) might face challenges due to widening trade deficits, potentially causing a decrease in the currency’s value.
In the Japanese yen (JPY) market, if Japan’s core Consumer Price Index (CPI) falls below the expected 2.7% YoY, the yen could strengthen against other currencies.
The Euro (EUR) might experience downward pressure, given the prevailing demand for the dollar.
The Swiss franc (CHF) could strengthen if Switzerland’s trade surplus widens further, potentially keeping USD/CHF below the crucial 0.9000 threshold.
The Pound (GBP) may encounter challenges due to robust demand for the dollar.
For the Canadian dollar (CAD), a stronger-than-expected performance in the Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) and Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) could bolster the currency against the US dollar.
Despite a significant drawdown in crude oil inventories in the oil market, prices might continue to slide, potentially finding support around $86.00 per barrel.