GBP/USD Makes Strong Gains Following BoE Inflation Warning; upcoming economic data poses potential impact.
In a notable turn of events, GBP/USD, commonly called “cable,” is set for a remarkable recovery this week, spurred by the Bank of England’s (BoE) cautious messaging on inflation. Despite recent progress in combating inflation, the BoE remains unconvinced, issuing a broad warning against complacency in its Thursday statement.
BoE Unconvinced About Recent Inflation Progress
The BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) expressed skepticism about the trajectory of both wage growth and services inflation, emphasizing the need for sustained efforts to reach the 2% price target. October’s inflation data, while showing positive trends, did not alleviate the BoE’s concerns, particularly regarding services inflation.
The committee stressed that interest rates must remain sufficiently restrictive for an extended period to achieve their inflation target. Notably, one-third of the nine voting members continue to advocate for rate hikes, underscoring the divergence of opinions within the MPC.
GBP/USD Makes Strong Gains Following BoE Inflation Warning
GBP/USD on Track for Impressive Weekly Comeback
The GBP/USD pair demonstrated resilience ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) and BoE meetings. The currency pair tested the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) as a support level before experiencing a sharp ascent. Wednesday’s dovish Fed statement contributed to a weaker dollar, further boosting GBP/USD.
Despite misleading inflation improvements, the Bank of England’s firm stance was the primary catalyst for the week’s substantial rebound. GBP/USD is now eyeing closure above the November high of 1.2736, with little resistance before the 1.3000 level.
Significant Event Risk Ahead for GBP/USD
Market participants await the release of the latest UK inflation data by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The data will reveal whether the positive trend observed in October persisted into November, potentially impacting sterling’s recent gains.
Additionally, next week brings the final US GDP data for Q3, with a prior upward revision. Expect challenging figures in the last UK GDP print release for the same quarter. The upcoming release of key economic indicators, such as US PCE data and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment print, suggests a potential for increased market volatility.
In conclusion, the cable’s resurgence is driven by the BoE’s cautious stance and upcoming economic data releases, making it a week of significant GBP/USD landscape developments.