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New Focus: Traders Await UK Labor, US CPI Numbers

UK Labor US CPI

Traders anticipate UK labor data and US CPI report for market direction—expectations for volatility amid vital economic releases.

In today’s trading session, traders monitor two critical economic data releases: the UK labor force report and the highly anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Market participants expect these releases to inject higher volatility into markets during the European and American trading hours.

UK Labour Force Report Expectations

The UK will release its labor force survey in February. Analysts expect the claimant count change (unemployment claims) to rise, while the average earnings index will decrease from 5.8% to 5.7% for January. The unemployment rate is forecasted to remain unchanged at 3.8%. A higher-than-expected claimant count coupled with lower average earnings could signal softness in the UK’s labor market, potentially putting selling pressure on the Pound.

New Focus: Traders Await UK Labor, US CPI Numbers

US CPI Data Forecast

The focus also remains on the US CPI data, with expectations for both headline and core CPI readings for February higher than in previous months. Continuing elevated inflation figures will likely drive demand for the dollar, potentially causing the Dollar Index (DXY) to surge.

Market Expectations and Central Bank Notes

The market sentiment is weakly bearish for the next 24 hours. Expect potential bullish movements in the Dollar Index (DXY) and weakness in Gold (XAU) due to anticipated high demand for the dollar following the US CPI release. Until the release of US CPI data, analysts expect the Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to trade within narrow ranges.

Central banks have maintained their monetary policies, with the Federal Reserve keeping the Federal Funds Rate target range unchanged and the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) maintaining the Official Bank Rate. The Bank of Canada also kept its target for the overnight rate to be steady. Inflation concerns persist among central banks, with a focus on balancing inflation targets with economic growth.

As traders await the release of critical economic data from the UK and the US, markets are bracing for potential volatility. The outcome of these releases will likely dictate market direction, particularly for currency pairs and commodities affected by inflation and employment data changes.

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